submitted by Joe-M-4 to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]
EXPERIMENT - Tracking Top 10 Cryptos of 2018 - Month 32 (-71%)
See the full blog post with all the tables here.
Month Thirty Two – Down 71%2018 Top Ten Summary
August was not quite as strong as all-green July, but still a solid month for the 2018 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiment. The gains were led by (I hope you’re sitting down for this one) (drum roll please) (you’re not going to believe this): NEM(!) which finished the month up over +200%. Really!
Question of the month:
The US Justice Department announced in August that it had seized cryptocurrency from terror groups in the Middle East. How much did they confiscate?A) $2 million B) $4 million C) $8 million D) $32 million
Scroll down for the answer.
Ranking and August Winners and LosersRank since January 2018
Lots of movement this month: all but three cryptos moved positions in August and all but one (NEM!) in the wrong direction. Despite gaining in value, Dash had the biggest slide, down four in the rankings from #24 to #28. ADA fell three and has dropped back out of the Top Ten. XRP, Bitcoin Cash, IOTA, and Stellar each lost one place in the rankings. The lone exception is a big one: XEM(!) climbed an unprecedented 9 spots in August. The last time NEM was in the Top Twenty was May 2019.
After thirty-two months, 50% of the cryptos that started 2018 in the Top Ten have dropped out. NEM, ADA, Dash, IOTA, and Stellar have been replaced by Binance Coin, Tether, BSV, CRO, and most recently, LINK.
August Winners – Don’t call it a comeback, NEM‘s been here for years. Up over +200% in August, NEM crushed the rest of the field. A distant second place was ETH, up +32% on the month.
August Losers – Down -13%, ADA was the worst performing crypto of the month, followed by Bitcoin Cash, down -9%.
For the overly competitive, below is a tally of the winners of the first 32 months of the 2018 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiment. Bitcoin still has the most monthly wins (7). Cardano is a close second with 6 monthly wins. Despite its blockbuster August, NEM has the most monthly losses with 6. Every crypto has at least one monthly win and Bitcoin is unique as the only cryptocurrency that hasn’t lost a month in the 2.5+ years of the Experiment.
Ws and Ls
Overall update – BTC in the lead and inching towards break-even point, followed by second place ETH. NEM escapes last place, replaced by Dash.Although BTC didn’t make any major moves this month, it continued to slowly but surely approach its break-even point. It is down about -10% since my purchase in January 2018. The initial investment of $100 thirty-two months ago is now worth about $90.
Ethereum is all alone in second place. It had a strong August, it picked up a lot of ground, but is still down -35% since January 2018.
The big story this month is at the bottom: NEM(!) gained +200% in August, crushing its counterparts and leaping out of last place, where it was so comfortable for so, so long. Although still down -83% over the life of the experiment, it moved from 10th place to 6th place in just one month. The new king of the basement is Dash, down -91%. The initial $100 invested in Dash 32 months ago is now worth $8.50.
Total Market Cap for the entire cryptocurrency sector:The crypto market added nearly $43B in August. The last time we saw a similar level in terms of overall crypto market cap was way back in the fifth month of the 2018 Top Ten Experiment: May 2018.
Bitcoin dominance:After being stuck in the mid-60s for most of 2020, BitDom dropped significantly this month, down to 57%. For context, the last time BitDom was this low was back in June 2019.
For some more context: since the beginning of the experiment, the range of Bitcoin dominance has been quite wide: we saw a high of 70% BitDom in September 2019 and a low of 33% BitDom in February 2018.
Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2018:The 2018 Top Ten Portfolio gained about $17 this month. If I cashed out today, the $1000 initial investment would return about $287, down -71% from January 2018.
While -71% isn’t something to brag about, the monthly trend is encouraging. Here, take a look at the ROI over the life of the experiment, month by month, for some context:
2018 Top Ten Monthly ROI Summary
So, -71% from a bottom of -88% is moving in the right direction.
Or that’s what I tell myself as I cry myself to sleep nightly.
Hopefully the next stop will be in the -60% range, a level this experiment hasn’t seen in years.
So the Top Ten Cryptos of 2018 are down -71%. What about the 2019 and 2020 Top Tens? Let’s take a look:
After a $3000 investment in the 2018, 2019, and 2020 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, my combined portfolios are worth $3,937 ($287+ $1,825 +$1,825).
That’s up about +31% for the three combined portfolios, compared to +23% last month. This marks the highest ROI of the three combined portfolios since I added the metric this year.
Here’s a table to help visualize:
Combined ROI on $3k over three years
A +31% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st for three straight years, not bad. But surely you’d do better if you invested only in one crypto, right? Depends on your choice. Let’s take a look:
Three year club: shoulda gone with ETH
Only five cryptos have remained in the Top Ten for all three years: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, and LTC. Knowing what we know now, which one would have been best to go all in on, at least at this point in the Experiment? Ethereum, easily: the initial $3k would be up +160%, worth over $7800 today. The worst performing at this point is XRP, down -17%.
Comparison to S&P 500:I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of the experiment to have a comparison point with other popular investments options. Defying global gloom, the S&P 500 reached an all time high in August and is up +31% since the beginning of the Experiment. The initial $1k investment into crypto on January 1st, 2018 would have been worth about $1310 had it been redirected to the S&P.
But what if I took the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments? Here are the numbers:
After three $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, and 2020, my portfolio would be worth $3,800.
That is up over+27% since January 2018, compared to a +31% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.
That’s a 4% swing in favor of the Top Ten Crypto Portfolios! As you’ll see in the table below, this is only the second time since I started recording this metric that crypto has outperformed the S&P had I taken a similar investment approach:
3 x $1k crypto vs. S&P
This is a big turnaround from the 22% difference in favor of the S&P just two months ago.
Although it’s fun to see crypto is in the lead, I’ll leave it to you to decide whether the heart condition you may develop by being in the cryptosphere is worth that +4% edge…
Conclusion:August was a bit mixed compared to July, but still a very solid month for the 2018 Top Ten. Some interesting developments this month: Bitcoin is now within 10% of the price I paid on January 1st, 2018. ETH had solid gains and NEM(!) had a crazy month, tripling in value and finally climbing out of the basement. At the same time, traditional markets are doing well too: the S&P reached an all time high in August. It will be interesting to see how both markets perform during the final third of a very crazy year.
Thanks for reading and for supporting the experiment. I hope you’ve found it helpful. I continue to be committed to seeing this process through and reporting along the way. Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports. Keep an eye out for my parallel projects where I repeat the experiment twice, purchasing another $1000 ($100 each) of two new sets of Top Ten cryptos as of January 1st, 2019 then again on January 1st, 2020.
And the Answer is…A) $2 million
According to federal prosecutors, the US Justice Department seized $2 million worth of cryptocurrency from terror groups in the Middle East including ISIS, al Qaeda, and the al Qassam Brigades.
"The guy is straight out lying. There is guaranteed no missing tx as the data was collected directly from the source." (source)
"I also had these data points and went through them to remove non-retail transactions, on both TravelbyBit and HULA." (source)He admits to have removed non-BCH tx by "Game Ranger" because he considers them non-retail (source). He also implies they might be involved in money laundering and that TBB might fail their AML obligations in processing Game Ranger's transactions (source).
"The website only shows transactions from the last 7 days and then they disappear. No way for anyone to access stats beyond that." (source)he felt confident to claim that I would be
unable to provide a source for the [missing] data and/or prove that that data was not already included in the report. (source)Luckily for us Hayden Otto seems to dislike his competitor TravelByBit so much that he attempted to reframe Bitcoin's RBF feature as a vulnerability specific to TBB PoS system (source).
"You can literally access it from a public URL in the Web browser. There is no login or anything required, just type in the name of the merchant." (source)As of yet it is unclear if this is intentional by TBB or if Hayden Ottos followed the rules of responsible disclosure before publishing this kind of data leak.
|TBB wo. Game Ranger||$5,407|
|TBB according to Hayden||$3,737|
|1||17 Sep 19 09:28||LTD Espresso||Lightning||Unable to find merchant history.||4.50||4.50|
|2||17 Sep 19 09:40||LTD Espresso||Binance Coin||Unable to find merchant history.||4.50||9.00|
|3||17 Sep 19 13:22||Josh's IGA Murray Bridge West||Ether||0x40fd53aa...b6de43c531||4.60||13.60|
|4||17 Sep 19 13:23||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Lightning||lnbc107727...zkcqvvgklf||16.00||29.60|
|5||17 Sep 19 13:24||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Lightning||lnbc100994...mkspwddgqw||15.00||44.60|
|6||17 Sep 19 14:02||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Binance Coin||bnb1w5mwu9...552thl4ru5||30.00||74.60|
|7||17 Sep 19 15:19||Dollars and Sense (Fortitude Valley)||Lightning||lnbc134780...93cpanyxfg||2.00||76.60|
|8||17 Sep 19 15:34||Steph's Cafe||Binance Coin||bnb124hcjy...ss3pz9y3r8||57.50||134.10|
|9||17 Sep 19 19:37||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb13f58s9...qqc7fxln7s||18.00||152.10|
|10||17 Sep 19 19:59||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575880...48cpl0z06q||8.50||160.60|
|11||17 Sep 19 20:00||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575770...t8spzjflym||8.50||169.10|
|12||17 Sep 19 20:13||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc202980...lgqp5ha8f4||3.00||172.10|
|13||17 Sep 19 20:21||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc577010...decq7r4p05||8.50||180.60|
|14||17 Sep 19 20:24||Fat Dumpling||Lightning||lnbc217145...9dsqpjjr6g||32.10||212.70|
|15||17 Sep 19 20:31||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc574530...wvcpp3pcen||8.50||221.20|
|16||17 Sep 19 20:33||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc540660...rpqpzgk8z0||8.00||229.20|
|17||17 Sep 19 20:37||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc128468...r8cqq50p5c||19.00||248.20|
|18||17 Sep 19 20:39||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc135220...cngp2zq6q4||2.00||250.20|
|19||17 Sep 19 20:45||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc574570...atcqg738p8||8.50||258.70|
|20||17 Sep 19 20:51||Fat Dumpling||Lightning||lnbc414190...8hcpg79h9a||61.20||319.90|
|21||17 Sep 19 20:53||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc135350...krqqp3cz8z||2.00||321.90|
|22||17 Sep 19 20:58||The Stand Desserts||Bitcoin||17MrHiRcKz...ZxydX8raU9||28.00||349.90|
|23||17 Sep 19 21:02||The Stand Desserts||Bitcoin||1Hwy8hCBff...iEh5fBsCWK||10.00||359.90|
|24||17 Sep 19 21:03||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc743810...dvqqnuunjq||11.00||370.90|
|25||17 Sep 19 21:04||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc114952...2vqpclm87p||17.00||387.90|
|26||17 Sep 19 21:10||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc169160...lpqqqt574c||2.50||390.40|
|27||17 Sep 19 21:11||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575150...40qq9yuqmy||8.50||398.90|
|28||17 Sep 19 21:13||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc947370...qjcp3unr33||14.00||412.90|
|29||17 Sep 19 21:15||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb1tc2vva...xppes5t7d0||16.00||428.90|
|30||17 Sep 19 21:16||Giardinetto||Binance Coin||bnb1auyep2...w64p6a6dlk||350.00||778.90|
|31||17 Sep 19 21:25||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3H2iJaKNXH...5sxPk3t2tV||7.00||785.90|
|32||17 Sep 19 21:39||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb17r7x3e...avaxwumc58||8.00||793.90|
|33||17 Sep 19 21:47||The Stand Desserts||BCH||32kuPYT1tc...uFQwgsA5ku||18.00||811.90|
|34||17 Sep 19 21:52||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3ELPvxtCSy...4QzvfVJsNZ||36.00||847.90|
|35||17 Sep 19 21:56||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc677740...acsp04sjeg||10.00||857.90|
|36||17 Sep 19 22:04||The Stand Desserts||BCH||38b4wHg9cg...9L2WXC2BSK||54.00||911.90|
|37||17 Sep 19 22:16||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb14lylhs...x6wz7kjzp5||18.00||929.90|
|38||17 Sep 19 22:21||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3L8SK3Hr7u...F3htdSPxfL||90.00||1019.90|
|39||17 Sep 19 22:30||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb19w6tle...774uknv57t||5.00||1024.90|
|40||17 Sep 19 22:48||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3Qag8c4UYg...9EYuWzGjhs||8.00||1032.90|
|Rate (per day)||1.50||267.71|
Generated with BBoe's Subreddit Stats
https://preview.redd.it/k6ap91xr5i711.jpg?width=528&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=2eb5a2cfd8cab49aeffb505e97f0ed4add84614bsubmitted by W12io to u/W12io [link] [comments]
Here’s a small list of upcoming events you can attend or monitor, including: Bitcoin Gold to Hard Fork, Blockchain Events: Chainers 2018 (Seoul), TechCrunch Sessions 2018 (Zug), TechCrunch Sessions Ethereum Meetup (Zug), London Fintech Week (London).
If you’re looking to increase your crypto wealth or know where all those tokens are coming from, here are a few airdrops occurring this week: CPS-SPACE-INS-LRN, ICOs Ending: WINS-SHR-BITX-EJAC-AMO, ICOs Starting: FNP-BETT-VLUX
Bitcoin Gold (BTG):Following a 51% hack in May, the BTG project’s team decided to upgrade its network via a hard fork in order to improve network security. This is expected to occur at block 536200 (Est. Date: 1st July). The upgrade will implement the Equihash-BTG PoW algorithm as a replacement for the existing Equihash algorithm, among other changes.
AirdropsCPS) is built on the Syscoin blockchain, and aims to power a decentralised marketplace. 6% of the total CPS coin supply will be distributed to owners of Syscoin wallet addresses on the snapshot’s date.
Space cash is going to be distributed to Siacoin (SC) holders at a 10:1 ratio by the Hyperspace team. The Hyperspace network aims to be a global cloud storage marketplace powered by SPACE.
INS Ecosystem (INS) Holders — INS Token Airdrop Distribution — July 2, 2018INS Ecosystem aims to develop a platform to enable direct interaction between FMCG (Fast Moving Consumer Goods) manufacturers and consumers. INS tokens will be distributed via an airdrop to all INS holders based on balances had during April 1, 2018 to June 30, 2018.
Loopring (LRC) Holders — Loopring Neo Token (LRN) Airdrop — July 5, 2018Loopring is a protocol for building decentralized exchanges, and will distribute 60% of the LRN supply to all LRC token holders during this airdrop.
WinStars (WINS) — Ends Tuesday July 3, at 13:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.2000, Funds Raised $ 3.30 M, Funding Target: 500,000 USD, Funding Cap: 5,000,000 USD, Coins Offered: 103.50 M (69.00%). WinStars is a decentralized gaming platform with a catalogue of gambling resources, built on Ethereum.
ShareRing (SHR) — Ends Wednesday July 4, at 13:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.02000, Funds Raised: — , Funding Target: $10,000,000, Funding Cap: $38,000,000, Coins Offered: 3.47 B (52.00%). ShareRing is a decentralized marketplace that enables users to securely access, connect, and pay for services anywhere in the world. Users can share anything from storage space to tools, clothes, jewellery and food with the SHR token being the primary payment method.
BitScreener (BITX) — Ends Thursday July 5, at 00:59 UTCStart Price: $ 0.06049, Fund Raised: — , Funding Target: 1,000 ETH, Funding Cap: 15,000 ETH, Coins Offered: 139.50 M (31.00%). BitScreener aims to build a financial data and content marketplace on the blockchain. BitX is used as the primary means of payment for services.
EJA Coin (EJAC) — Ends Thursday July 5, at 01:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.1000, Funds Raised: $ 500.00 k, Funding Target: 500,000 USD, Funding Cap: 15,000,000 USD, Coins Offered: 150.00 M (60.00%). Eja Coin intends to implement a project that will make it easy for people to invest in Mining.
Amo Coin (AMO) — Ends Saturday July 7, at 01:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.002164, Funds Raised: $ 1.74 M, Funding Target: — , Funding Cap: — , Coins Offered: 10.00 B (50.00%). AMO is a project that aims to create and operate the AMO Market, where car data can be shared and exchanged. The AMO coin is set to be used as the primary means of payment within the platform.
FlipNpik (FNP) — Starts Sunday July 1, at 01:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.1238, Funding Target: — , Funding Cap: 100,000 ETH, Coins Offered: 350.00 M (35.00%). FlipNpik is a commercial social media platform that is designed to connect shoppers to merchants within their communities.
Bettium (BETT) — Starts Sunday July 1, at 01:00 UTCStart Price: $ 0.05000, Funding Target: 7,500,000 USD, Funding Cap: 30,000,000 USD, Coins Offered: 600.00 M (60.00%). Bettium is a platform enabling users to engage in p2p sports betting against each other. The platform offers users a series of tools, ranging from machine learning services to help from established experts to improve forecasts and strategy.
VLUX (VLUX) — Starts Wednesday July 4, at 01:00 UTCStart Price: — , Funding Target: 25,000,000 GBP, Funding Cap: 25,000,000 GBP, Coins Offered: 44.31 M (70.00%). VLUX aims to improve access to affordable, low carbon energy by enabling peers to trade energy between one another via the Verv energy trading platform.
Where: Seoul, Korea
As part of the Blockchainer Global Global Tour Series, the 11th tour stops in Korea to provide audiences with a series of talks covering Global Blockchain Regulation & Development, Public Chains, Private Chains & Consortium Chains, and Venture Capital and Token Economy to name a few. There are several notable speakers confirmed, including Patrick Dai (Co-founder, QTUM), Jun Li (Founder, Ontology) and Kim Seong Silk (CTO, Huobi Korea) among many others.
The event also includes a Blockchain Projects Pitch Roadshow where teams can showcase their respective projects to investors.
Where: Theater Casino Zug, Artherstrasse 2–4, Zug, 6300 Switzerland
TechCrunch is proud to announce their first event dedicated entirely to blockchain, crypto and the future of the internet. The event will feature a series of talks from industry leaders including Vitalik Buterin (Creator, Ethereum), Jutta Steiner (Co-founder, Polkadot), Joe Lubin (Founder, Consensys), Balaji Srinivasan (CTO, Coinbase) and Changpeng Zhao (CEO, Binance).
Where: Theater Casino Zug, Artherstrasse 2–4, Zug, 6300 Switzerland
TechCrunch will produce the event with support from the Ethereum Foundation and other members of the Ethereum community the day after the TC Sessions: Blockchain event. The meetup will feature Vitalik Buterin (Founder, Ethereum Foundation), Karl Floersch (Developer, Ethereum Foundation), among others. It will cover a range of topics including scaling, protocol improvements, and improvements to consensus mechanisms.
The 5th Annual London Fintech Week starts next week, bringing together a series of key industry speakers across several areas within the Fintech space. The event will include a collection of conferences, exhibitions, workshops, a hackathon, and several networking events throughout the week. Notable attendees include Adam Stradling (co-founder of Bitcoin.com), Anish Mohammed (advisor at Ripple Labs), and Dominik Schiener (co-founder of IOTA) among many others. For a full list of industry speakers and event partners, please click here.
The week-long event kicks off on Friday July 6 with a Blockchain Hackathon over the weekend, followed by a series of talks starting on Monday July 9th covering Fintech Disruptors, Capital Markets & Wealthtech on Tuesday, and Blockchain & Crypto-Finance on Wednesday. Thursday is a designated day for investors and startups/ICO participants to showcase their projects, followed by a series of blockchain and legal workshops on Friday.
Notably panel discussions during the Blockchain & Crypto-Finance day include:
Women in Blockchain — Discussion on the role of women in blockchain, with a closer look at the impact that women are making across the industry. Includes Helen Disney (CEO Unblocked), Dr Jane Thomason (CEO, Blockchain Quantum Impact) and Michelle Chivunga N (Regional Advisor, British Blockchain Association) among others.
Linklaters Panel: Blockchain and Financial Services — How Blockchain fits in within the current regulatory environment, as well as its impact on enterprises, business and compliance across users’ digital identities, trust and transparency. Discussion between Ajit Tripathi (Partner EMEA, Consensys Enterprise), Harry Eddis (Partner, Global Co-Head of Fintech, Linklaters), and Clair Wells (Director, Legal and Business Affairs EMEA, Circle).
VC/Investor Panel — Discussion on how industry figures and organizations are using blockchain to impact value and growth. Panellists include Ivan Soto-Wright (Founder and Managing Partner, HODL.vc), Andrew Adcock (CMO, Crowd for Angels), and Aditya Nagarsheth (Investor, Red Pill).
Blockchain Becoming Real Beyond Finance & Less Regulated Industries — Adam Strading (Co-founder, Bitcoin.com), Ashley Fox (MEP for SW England and Gibraltar, The European Parliament) and Tim Huegdon (Co-founder & CIO, InstaSupply) discuss the impact of blockchain and the growing autonomy of machines on society.
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